Industry Analysis9 min

What Carriers, Consumers, and Regulators All Want. And Why Brokers Don't.

Consumers want transparency. Carriers want fair compensation. Regulators want fewer complaints. Every item on every list is something the broker business model actively resists. This is not a bad actor problem. The incentives are structurally opposed.

|Trunk Research
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There is a rare moment in any dysfunctional industry when the interests of consumers, workers, and regulators all converge on the same set of reforms. Household goods moving has reached that moment. Three parties that rarely coordinate, carriers, consumers, and federal regulators, all want the same things. The fourth party, the broker, wants the opposite of every item on the list.

This article maps what each group wants, shows where the interests overlap, and explains why the broker business model is structurally incompatible with all of it.

What Consumers Want

Transparent pricing. Consumers want to know what they are paying for. Not a binding estimate that conceals a 60% broker commission. Not a number designed to win the booking rather than reflect the cost. Consumers want a price that means what it says, with a visible breakdown of who gets what.

Accountability. When something goes wrong, someone is responsible. Currently, the broker says 'the carrier did it.' The carrier says 'the broker quoted it.' The consumer, stuck between two companies pointing at each other, has no clear path to resolution. A consumer who files an NCCDB complaint often does not know which company to file against.

Carrier identity. Consumers want to know who is actually moving their stuff before moving day. The 2012 Senate Commerce Committee investigation found that more than 75% of consumers in broker-arranged moves did not know they had hired a broker until a different company arrived. Consumers want to choose their carrier, research their carrier, and hold their carrier accountable. The broker model treats the carrier as interchangeable and anonymous.

What Carriers Want

Fair compensation. Not 40% after the broker takes 60%. In the court-filed broker-carrier agreement from Vellar Holdings v. Bee Movers (Palm Beach County, August 2026), Safe Ship retains all binding estimate fees plus up to 60% of discounted line haul charges. The carrier who loads the truck, drives it across the country, and delivers the belongings receives 40% or less. From that share, the carrier pays fuel, insurance, truck costs, driver wages, tolls, and packing materials. The broker pays for phones, a sales floor, and advertising. In freight brokerage, the average broker margin is 13.47% (DAT). In HHG, it is 60%. Carriers want a split that reflects the value each party contributes.

Direct customer relationships. Carriers want to talk to their customers, set expectations, manage the move from estimate to delivery. The broker model inserts a middleman who controls the customer relationship, sets the price, and absorbs the first-contact loyalty. The carrier shows up as a stranger on moving day. If the move goes well, the consumer credits the broker. If the move goes badly, the consumer blames the carrier.

Pricing control. Carriers want to set their own tariff rates, based on their actual costs, their service level, and the specific requirements of each move. The broker-carrier agreement (Section 4.G) requires the carrier to 'adopt the BROKER's estimate as its own.' The carrier does not price the move. The broker does. When the broker underquotes to win the booking, the carrier absorbs the loss or asks for more money on moving day and takes the complaint.

What Regulators Want

Complaint reduction. FMCSA tracks consumer complaints through the NCCDB. Every complaint represents a regulatory failure. The agency's goal, to the extent it engages with HHG oversight at all, is fewer complaints. The Government Accountability Office has repeatedly recommended transferring HHG oversight to an agency with consumer protection as its primary mission, because FMCSA's core mission is highway safety, not consumer fraud.

Industry compliance. Regulators want carriers to file accurate tariffs, maintain required insurance, operate within their authorized scope, and follow the rules for estimates, bills of lading, and delivery. They want brokers to disclose their broker status in all advertising (49 CFR 371.7), provide carriers on published carrier lists, and not engage in deceptive practices.

Consumer protection. Informed consent before the move. Transparent transactions during the move. Enforceable remedies after the move. The Surface Transportation Board's rulemaking petition on broker fee reasonableness, and the broker transparency rule at OMB (RIN 2126-AC63), both aim to give consumers and carriers visibility into the economics of broker-arranged moves.

Where All Three Overlap

The overlap is remarkable. Consumers want to know the real price. Carriers want to set the real price. Regulators want the real price to appear on the estimate. All three want pricing transparency.

Consumers want to know who is moving them. Carriers want direct relationships with the people they serve. Regulators want carriers to be identifiable and accountable. All three want carrier identity.

Consumers want someone to be responsible when things go wrong. Carriers want complaints to reflect their actual performance, not the broker's pricing decisions. Regulators want complaint data that accurately identifies the source of consumer harm. All three want accurate accountability.

These are not competing interests. They are the same interest expressed by three different parties with three different stakes in the outcome.

What Brokers Want

Opacity. The broker's margin depends on the consumer not seeing the spread between what the consumer pays and what the carrier receives. If a consumer knew that $3,000 of their $5,000 payment went to a company that never touched their belongings, the consumer would likely contact the carrier directly. The confidentiality clause in Safe Ship's broker-carrier agreement classifies the margin split as a trade secret. Opacity is not a side effect of the broker model. It is a requirement.

Volume. More bookings equal more binding estimate fees, more 60% commissions, more revenue. The broker's costs are largely fixed: phones, sales staff, advertising. Each additional booking is nearly pure margin. The incentive is to book as many moves as possible, which means quoting as low as possible, which means the carrier inherits an underpriced job. Volume is the broker's growth strategy. It is also the mechanism that produces consumer harm at scale.

Liability insulation. When a move goes wrong, the broker's position is that the carrier performed the move and the carrier is responsible. Federal law historically supported this: brokers are 'middlemen,' not motor carriers. The Montgomery v. Caribe Transport II ruling (Supreme Court, May 2026) changed the calculus by establishing that brokers can be held liable for negligent carrier selection. But for pricing disputes, delivery delays, and hostage loads, the broker still points at the carrier.

Speech suppression. Brokers suppress information from every direction. Consumer direction: Safe Ship conditions partial refunds ($250 in one documented case, $1,200 in another) on deleting all negative reviews and leaving consumer advocacy groups. The consumer loses their voice as a condition of recovering a fraction of their loss. Carrier direction: the confidentiality clause in the broker-carrier agreement prevents carriers from disclosing margin percentages or business practices. When We-Haul Moving Services attempted to speak publicly after termination, Safe Ship sued for a permanent injunction. Nonprofit direction: Safe Ship filed coordinated federal lawsuits against USMPO, a consumer protection nonprofit, for publishing complaint data. Three suits, consolidated case 0:25-cv-80042 (S.D. Florida). The court granted the defendant's first Motion to Dismiss, but the litigation cost achieved its purpose: the nonprofit's founder has been under sustained legal pressure for over a year.

The Structural Opposition

Every item on the consumer/carrier/regulator list is something the broker business model actively resists.

Transparency kills the 60% margin. If consumers can see the split, they will question why the person who made a phone call keeps more than the person who carried their piano up three flights of stairs. If carriers can see the split before accepting the job, they can decline unprofitable moves, which reduces the broker's dispatch pool.

Carrier identity kills the interchangeable dispatch model. The broker's efficiency depends on treating carriers as fungible. Any available carrier can be dispatched to any move. If the consumer selects a specific carrier, the broker becomes unnecessary. The broker's value proposition is 'we find you a mover.' If the consumer already knows who they want, the broker adds no value.

Pricing control kills the lowball estimate strategy. The broker wins bookings by quoting low. If the carrier sets the price, the quote is higher, the booking rate drops, and the broker's volume-based revenue model breaks. This is why Section 4.G exists: the carrier must adopt the broker's estimate. The broker controls the number because the broker's revenue depends on the number being low.

Accurate accountability kills liability insulation. If complaint records tracked which broker arranged each move, consumers, attorneys, and regulators could see the pattern: specific brokers producing clusters of carrier complaints. The data would show that the broker, not just the carrier, is the source of consumer harm. The broker's defense, 'the carrier did it,' dissolves when the data shows the same broker generating the same complaints across dozens of different carriers.

This is not a bad actor problem. It is not about Safe Ship specifically, or any single broker. The incentive structure of HHG brokerage is fundamentally opposed to what consumers, carriers, and regulators need. A well-run broker with good intentions still faces the same structural incentives: underquote to win bookings, keep margins hidden to protect revenue, treat carriers as interchangeable to maintain flexibility, and suppress speech to control the narrative.

The Reforms on the Table

Two regulatory actions are in progress.

The broker transparency rule (RIN 2126-AC63), currently at OMB review, would require brokers to disclose transaction records to carriers. This addresses carriers' demand for pricing visibility. It does not address consumers' demand for the same information.

The Surface Transportation Board can be asked to consider a rulemaking or declaratory petition on broker fee reasonableness, which would examine whether broker commissions of 50% to 60% are consistent with rate reasonableness requirements under 49 USC 13701. A binding estimate fee cap, as analyzed by a retired transportation attorney, would limit the BEF to 10% of line haul charges, down from the 50%+ currently charged by high-volume brokers.

The Montgomery ruling already changed the liability question. Brokers can be held liable for negligent carrier selection. The next question is whether brokers can be held liable for negligent pricing, for issuing estimates so far below actual cost that the resulting move predictably harms the consumer.

If proposed rules are entertained and adopted by the STB, the broker model does not disappear. Brokers still have a role in matching consumers with carriers. But the 60% margin, the hidden split, the anonymous dispatch, the lowball estimate, and the speech suppression all become harder to sustain. The model would have to evolve into something that serves all parties, not just the broker.

Carriers, consumers, and regulators are aligned. The question is whether the regulatory process moves fast enough to matter, or whether the industry continues operating on a model that the three parties who interact with actual moving trucks have already rejected.

Companies Mentioned

Sources: Vellar Holdings LLC v. Bee Movers LLC, Case 502026CA008769XXXAMB (Palm Beach County, August 4, 2026). Montgomery v. Caribe Transport II LLC, 608 U.S. ___ (2026). U.S. Senate Commerce Committee, Staff Report on Household Goods Moving (2012). Broker transparency rulemaking RIN 2126-AC63. STB rulemaking petition on broker fee reasonableness. 49 USC 13701 (rate reasonableness). 49 CFR 371.7 (broker disclosure). DAT broker margin analysis (mean 13.47%). Vellar Holdings LLC v. USMPO, consolidated 0:25-cv-80042 (S.D. Florida). Vellar Holdings LLC v. We-Haul Moving Services LLC, Case 502026CA007342XXXAMB (Palm Beach County, June 30, 2026). FMCSA NCCDB complaint data. GAO reports on HHG oversight transfer.

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